Friday, January 18, 2013

Early 2013 Fantasy Football Rankings


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With the fantasy football season still fresh in our minds, it's the perfect opportunity to look at the top 60 players for the 2013 season. Individual position rankings with a few more players listed can be consulted as well for QBs, RBs, WRs and TEs.

There are a few takeaways from the rankings:
  • QB is extremely deep and therefore, there is not much need to spend a high pick on a QB, I'd much rather wait and grab a guy like Stafford, Luck or Ryan later and spend the early pick locking up an elite RB.
  • WR is also extremely deep, which is why there are only 4 WRs ranked within the top 22 players. It's a much bigger priority for me to grab a couple elite RBs and wait to grab a bunch of reliable WR2.
  • TE completely fall off a cliff after Gronk and Graham. Hernandez and Witten are both pretty decent value picks if they fall to the 5th or 6th rounds, but in most leagues, I'll likely be waiting on TE until the final few rounds and grab a few high upside guys. Every year there are a bunch of TEs that come out of nowhere and have a lot of fantasy value so there is little point to spend mid-round picks on guys like Gresham, Pitta, Rudolph, or Olsen.
And now without further ado....your early 2013 fantasy football rankings!!

Round 1
1. Adrian Peterson, RB1 - Record breaking season fresh off ACL surgery, will he be even better?
2. Arian Foster, RB2 - Three straight seasons as at least a top four fantasy RB
3. Ray Rice, RB3 - Had his worst year in four seasons and still finished as 6th best RB
4. Doug Martin, RB4 - 2012's 3rd best RB despite missing two Pro Bowl Guards (Nicks and Joseph)
5. Marshawn Lynch, RB5 - Only three games with less than 85 rushing yards in last 25 games 
6. Jamaal Charles, RB7 - Misused in 2012, but still 8th best RB, new coach Andy Reid should help 
7. Lesean McCoy, RB6 - Injury filled year but was on 1600 total yard pace (3rd straight year) 
8. Aaron Rodgers, QB1 - Still 3rd best despite WR injuries, no running game or offensive line 
9. Calvin Johnson, WR1 - Most studly WR despite only 5 TDs, should score more in 2013 
10. Trent Richardson, RB8 - Will be healthier next season and team improving

Round 2
11. C.J. Spiller, RB9 - Will see much more work than 205 carries of 2012 and F-Jax clear backup
12. Drew Brees, QB2 - Top QB even without Sean Payton, two straight 5000 yard, 40 TD seasons
13. Tom Brady, QB3 - Welker may not be back, but never doubt Brady and Belichek
14. Brandon Marshall, WR2 - New coach will be more offensively minded, no one more consistent
15. Rob Gronkowski, TE1 - More than TD/gm last two seasons, by far best option @ weak position
16. Demaryuis Thomas, WR3 - Safe WR because of his rapport with Peyton and elite physical tools
17. A.J. Green, WR4 - Took another step forward this season, now one of the NFL's best
18. Matt Forte, RB10 - At least 1400 total yards each season, offensive minded coach will help
19. Maurice Jones-Drew, RB11 - Still in amazing shape was very effective before foot injury
20. Cam Newton, QB4 - Despite early season struggles, finished as the 4th best QB (just as 2011)

Round 3
21. Alfred Morris, RB12 - Redskins pistol offense opens up huge running lanes for Morris
22. Stevan Ridley, RB13 - Sixth most carries in NFL, should get tons or run again next season
23. Dez Bryant, WR5 -  Seems to have "gotten it", clear #1 option now in Dallas
24. Percy Harvin, WR6 - Pace after 8 games (before injury) would have put him as 2012's WR4
25. Jimmy Graham, TE2 - Injury riddled 2012, still posted ~1000 yards, expect big bounce back
26. Frank Gore, RB14 - Behind one of NFL's best O-lines, 7 straight 1300+ total yard seasons
27. Andre Johnson, WR7 - 1600 yard season, but crazy low TD rate (1/28 catches, career 1/14.6)
28. Robert Griffin III, QB5 - Upside is monstrous, but can he stay healthy for 16 games?
29. Roddy White, WR8 - Super reliable, 6 straight seasons of 1150+ yards, 6+ TDs (avg: 1295/8)
30. DeMarco Murray, RB15 - Elite when healthy but hasn't finished season since high school

Round 4
31. Darren Sproles, RB16 - Solid RB2 despite limited carries, insane 104 targets in 13 games
32. Chris Johnson, RB17 -Hard to trust, 7 games of more than 90 yards, 8 with less than 60
33. Julio Jones, WR9 - Big upside, but inconsistent and injuries are a concern
34. Peyton Manning, QB6 - 2nd best season of his career at age 36, likely to take small step back
35. Vincent Jackson, WR10 - Target monster for offense that likes to throw deep
36. Randall Cobb, WR11 - Has become featured WR for the best QB in the NFL
37. Larry Fitzgerald, WR12 - Risk/Reward pick, Fitz will have a lot to prove in 2013
38. Mike Wallace, WR13 - Holdout hurt this season, elite stats should return (assuming decent QB)
39. Eric Decker, WR14 - Streaky season, but with Peyton should have another good season
40. Darren McFadden, RB18 - Zone blocking scheme was a terrible fit, but needs to stay healthy

Round 5
41. Ryan Mathews, RB19 - Without Norv he should be utilized more effectively, still lots of talent
42. Michael Crabtree, WR15 - Kaepernick's go to WR, at least 9 fantasy points in 6 of 8 starts
43. Victor Cruz, WR16 - Much less effective in 2012 with teams game planning for him
44. Wes Welker, WR17 - Decent chance he ends up outside of Foxboro which would hurt value a lot
45. Marques Colston, WR18 - Yet to have less than 1000 yards, 7 TDs when plays 14+ games
46. Matt Stafford, QB7 - Nearly 5000 yards with little outside of Megatron, TDs will improve
47. Andrew Luck, QB8 - Hit rookie wall, should be more consistent in 2013, skills clearly there
48. Aaron Hernandez, TE3 - Played hurt for most of the year, will be back to 100% in 2013
49. BenJarvus Green-Ellis, RB20 - Unsexy RB, but got 8th most carries in 2012
50. Matt Ryan, QB9 - Offense ensures that Ryan has a lower ceiling that the top QBs

Round 6
51. Tony Romo, QB10 - 2012's QB8 largely because of Dez's emergence as a bonafide star WR
52. Russell Wilson, QB11 - No 300 yard game all season, but very efficient and good rushing ability 
53. Jason Witten, TE4 - No surprises with Witten, will play every game and post 1000 yards
54. Steve Smith, WR19 - Still getting it done at 33 years old, Cam's favorite target
55. Dwayne Bowe, WR20 - High upside, QB play will almost certainly improve for him in 2013
56. Steven Jackson, RB21 - Has had at least 1000 rushing yards every year since 2005.
57. Pierre Garcon, WR21 - Showed good rapport with RGIII, valuable as long as can stay healthy
58. Jordy Nelson, WR22 - Killed by injuries in 2012, Jennings departure ensures big role
59. Colin Kaepernick, QB12 - Averaged almost 18 fantasy points per start, pace of 8th best QB
60. Willis McGahee, RB22 - Should get more work than Moreno and more talented of the two

2 comments:

preeti said...

I think, Reid will use Jamaal Charles better than anyone has thus far. His combined rushing/receiving yards should be huge.


2013 Fantasy Football Sleeper Running Backs

Nobanno said...

Along with fantasy football rankings I am analyzing the fantasy football injury reports for the past few days. I want to be fully prepared about the upcoming weeks.

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