Thursday, September 13, 2012

Guys I'm Buying

Patience, Patience, Patience!

Buying low and selling high is one of the most fun and rewarding things in fantasy football. Here are some players I'm buying after a less than impressive Week 1. For help making trades, check out the DOs and DONTs of Fantasy Trading.

Wes Welker, NE (Preseason WR #5)
2 catches for 22 yards.

That was Wes Welker's Week 11 stats in 2011. Yes, that same 2011 in which Welker had a NFL leading 122 catches for 1569 yards and 9 TDs. Guess what Welker did the next game? 8 catches for 115 yards and 2 TD. There was a lot of talk about Welker's "reduced role" after Week 1 but I'm not worried at all.

Brady responded to those concerns to ESPN Boston yesterday saying,

""He's a huge part of this offense and what we do on a weekly basis. I'm sure there won't be too many games where he doesn't get a lot of opportunity."

Welker is a stud, don't let one bad game lead you to trade the best slot WR in the game. If someone is selling, I'll gladly buy for 90 cents on the dollar. He is still a lock for 100 catches and if you are able to trade for him you won't regret it.

Chris Johnson, TEN (Preseason RB #4)

Coming off a disappointing 2011 in which he slumped badly to begin the year, Chris Johnson still finished as the 16th best RB. This past Sunday fresh off a weak preseason he ran 11 times for only 4 yards in Week 1. He salvaged his fantasy day by catching 6 passes for 47 yards. Based on the type of player he is, Johnson is prone to games like this. But all it takes is to break off one of his 70 yard TDs for us to look at him in a totally different light. He is an excellent pass catcher and should continue to be an extremely active part of the passing game as well.

The Titans were a mess in Week 1, with QB Jake Locker and top WR Nate Washington getting injured while being blown out by the Patriots. Kenny Britt also missed this game due to a suspension. With all those guys back in the lineup this week, Johnson should have more space to run as defenses won't be able to load the box against him.

Those of you who listen to the ESPN Fantasy Focus Podcast heard them discuss trading CJ2K for 40 cents on the dollar. If someone is willing to do that, I'm jumping at the opportunity to trade for him (and I would pay a fair bit more than that). Buy him before he has one of his great games and it's too late.

Matt Stafford, DET (Preseason QB #4)

After a 5000+ yard, 41 TD season in 2011, Stafford opened the year in less than impressive fashion finishing with only 12 fantasy points (standard scoring) due to his 3 interceptions. Stafford has a tough matchup this week against the 49ers, so that buy low window probably won't close just yet, but there is a big opportunity now to acquire the 4th best QB in the league on the cheap. He still completed 67% of his passes and throw for 355 yards so I'm not at all concerned.

Fred Davis, WSH (Preseason TE #8)

In Week 1, Fred Davis struggled only catching two passes for 38 yards on four targets. Davis was on pace for an 1000 yard season before his suspension last season and is the most talented pass catcher on the Redskins (even more so than #1 WR Pierre Garcon). I expect Davis to finish 2nd on the team in targets for the season. The Redskins were having tremendous success against the Saints, and last year the Saints allowed the 6th most fantasy points to opposing WRs so there wasnt a need to feed the ball to Davis. I still expect a huge season, and would keep him at my 8th spot for the season. Buy while you can!

Titus Young, DET (Preseason WR #33)

I loved Titus Young in the preseason (see The Perfect Draft) but as I mentioned many times, Young doesn't have the starting job yet. If you drafted Young, it was based on the expectation that by the second half of the year he will be involved enough in the offense to win you your league down the stretch. As seen in Week 1 when Nate Burleson (6 catches for 69 yards) was the starter and greatly outplayed Young (1 catch for 11 yards), there is still a lot of growing to do.

Titus has been dropped in a ton of leagues (only owned in 67% of Yahoo leagues). If he's available, pick him up! If he's owned, float a buy low offer for him, chances are his owner will let him go very cheaply after his Week 1 stinker.

Some other guys that struggled Week 1 that I'm buying (in no particular order):
Russell Wilson, SEA, Andrew Luck, IND, Peyton Hillis, KC, Jacquizz Rodgers, ATL, Willis McGahee, DEN, Justin Blackmon, JAC

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